Net-Zero Emission Targets and Global Energy Transition is Fueling the Demand of Green Hydrogen
Hydrogen produced from coal, mainly via a technique called coal gasification, results in greater emissions when compared to more environmentally friendly methods such as electrolysis. As per the IEA's Global Hydrogen Review 2023, hydrogen generated through coal gasification leads to total emissions of 22-26 kg CO2e/kg H2, where more than 80% of these emissions stem from direct emissions at the production facility. The significant carbon footprint linked to this approach underscores the necessity for cleaner options like green hydrogen generated from renewable resources. Shifting away from coal-based hydrogen is crucial for reaching global net-zero objectives and realizing a sustainable energy future.
Demand for low-emissions hydrogen increased by nearly 10% in 2023, yet still represents less than 1 Mt. Government efforts have escalated lately, via the introduction of mandates, incentive programs, and market development strategies. This could elevate demand to more than 6 Mtpa by 2030, although this would correspond to approximately one-tenth of the requirements of the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario. Multiple major initiatives aimed at generating low-emissions hydrogen for applications in refining, chemical production, and steel manufacturing made their final investment decisions (FID) in 2023. The projects that have been committed in these fields may result in a need for 1.5 Mtpa of low-emissions hydrogen by 2030, which is three times the current level.
The worldwide shift in energy is greatly driving up the need for green hydrogen as nations and sectors pursue sustainable substitutes for fossil fuels. The shift is drawing significant investments, with projections indicating that approximately US$300 billion will be allocated to green hydrogen initiatives by 2030. This surge of funding is crucial for establishing the infrastructure and technology required for mass production. The decreasing expenses associated with renewable energy technologies and electrolyzers are enhancing the financial feasibility of green hydrogen. As these prices keep decreasing, green hydrogen is increasingly becoming competitive with conventional hydrogen production methods that rely on fossil fuels.
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Demand from Diverse Sectors and Technological Advancements Shape the Future of Market
Innovations in electrolyzer technology and renewable energy generation are crucial for decreasing the production expenses of green hydrogen, enabling it to become progressively more competitive with conventional hydrogen production methods based on fossil fuels. Current projections indicate that the expenses associated with green hydrogen production may drop below US$2 per kilogram in various regions by 2026-2030. This decrease is motivated by economies of scale, advancements in system design, and improved manufacturing techniques for both electrolyzers and renewable energy systems. As additional renewable energy sources are incorporated into power grids, the capability to generate hydrogen utilizing surplus renewable energy during times of low demand becomes viable. This adaptability can assist in stabilizing energy supply while aiding in hydrogen production.
Companies creating cutting-edge technology are significantly contributing to the expansion of the green hydrogen market by fostering innovation, enhancing efficiency, and lowering costs. For instance, in November 2024, Lummus Technology, an international supplier of process technologies and value-oriented energy solutions, revealed a new alliance with Advanced Ionics, a provider of economical green hydrogen technology. This collaboration entails an investment from Lummus Venture Capital aimed at speeding up the commercialization of Advanced Ionics’ hydrogen electrolyzer technology and aiding the decarbonization initiatives within the refining, gas processing, and petrochemical sectors. Lummus will additionally offer engineering services and furnish proprietary equipment to enhance green hydrogen capacity for both new constructions and existing hydrogen users or producers.
Recent Trends in Green Hydrogen Market
- Advancements in electrolyzer technology enhance efficiency and reduce costs
- Increasing global demand for clean fuel alternatives across various sectors
- Investment in infrastructure necessary for hydrogen distribution and storage
- Blending green hydrogen into natural gas networks provides immediate reductions in carbon emissions
- Environmental concerns driving adoption as a sustainable energy solution
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High Production Costs Pose Threat to the Green Hydrogen Market
As the costs of renewable energy decrease, this may contribute to a reduction in total hydrogen production costs; however, the currently elevated electricity prices in numerous areas still pose an obstacle. The capital expenditures related to electrolyzers represent another crucial element. While costs have dropped by approximately 40% in the past few years, additional decreases are essential for green hydrogen to be competitive. Estimates indicate that electrolyzer expenses may decline by another 40% in the near future and up to 80% over a longer period, yet reaching these reductions demands ongoing innovation and expansion.
Development of Advanced Manufacturing Facilities is Driving the Growth of Market
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Asia Pacific Leading the Green Hydrogen Market with Increased Production Rates
The dominance of the Asia Pacific region in the green hydrogen market is fueled by its significant investments in renewable energy, encouraging government policies, technological innovations, and increasing demand across different sectors. As nations persist in prioritizing decarbonization initiatives and developing strong infrastructure, the Asia Pacific region is poised to take a crucial role in influencing the future of the worldwide green hydrogen economy.
North America and Europe are rising as important contributors to the green hydrogen market, propelled by multiple elements that strengthen their competitive standings. The United States government is progressively backing clean energy options, such as green hydrogen, via policies designed to reach net-zero emissions. For instance, the Hydrogen Shot is a program initiated by the U. S. Department of Energy (DOE) as a facet of the larger Energy Earthshots initiative, with the goal of greatly decreasing the expense of clean hydrogen production. In particular, it aims to cut the cost of clean hydrogen to US$1 per kilogram over the next ten years, realizing an 80% decrease from present prices, which are roughly US$5 per kilogram for hydrogen created from renewable sources.
Europe is leading the way in establishing strong policy frameworks that facilitate the shift to a hydrogen economy. Green hydrogen is progressively acknowledged as an essential component in the transition to sustainable energy systems. It presently makes up less than 1% of overall hydrogen production but is anticipated to expand significantly over the next twenty years, with forecasts suggesting that it might constitute as much as 14% of the energy mix in the European Union by 2050, increasing from merely 2% today.
North America | United States, Canada |
Latin America | Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Rest of Latin America |
Europe | United Kingdom, Germany, Sweden, Spain, France, Russia, Austria, Netherlands, Portugal, Rest of Europe |
Asia Pacific | China, India, Japan, Australia & New Zealand, Rest of Asia Pacific |
Middle East and Africa | Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Rest of MEA |
Green Hydrogen Market Research Report Covers In-depth Analysis on:
- Green hydrogen market detailed segments and segment-wise market breakdown
- Green hydrogen market dynamics (Recent industry trends, drivers, restraints, growth potential, opportunities in green hydrogen industry)
- Current, historical, and forthcoming 10 years market valuation in terms of green hydrogen market size (US$ Mn), share (%), Y-o-Y growth rate, CAGR (%) analysis
- Green hydrogen market demand analysis
- Green hydrogen market regional insights with the region-wise market breakdown
- Competitive analysis – key companies profiling including their market share, product offerings, and competitive strategies.
- Latest developments and innovations in the green hydrogen market
- Regulatory landscape by key regions and key countries
- Green hydrogen market sales and distribution strategies
- A comprehensive overview of the parent market
- A detailed viewpoint on green hydrogen market forecast by countries
- Mergers and acquisitions in the green hydrogen market
- Essential information to enhance market position
- Robust research methodology