Growth of E-Commerce and Rising Adoption of Digital Payments Significantly Drive the Real-Time Payment Market
The increase in B2C e-commerce is directly related to a greater number of transactions and the worldwide income of it is projected to reach US$ 5.5 trillion by 2027, with a consistent compound annual growth rate of 14.4%. The increasing number of consumers adopting Amazon Pay for multiple e-commerce sites allows for quick and safe transactions. Amazon Pay has more than 300 million active user accounts globally. Retailers implementing real-time payment systems can set themselves apart by providing quicker checkouts and enhanced customer experiences. This edge in competition is especially crucial in the saturated e-commerce market, where companies aim to draw in and keep customers by simplifying payment procedures.
The growing use of digital payments is one of the main factors propelling the real time payments market. Yet, it has led to expansion through different avenues, and the shift to digital payments has also triggered a considerable increase in transaction volumes. In 2023, real-time payments represented 266. 2 billion transactions worldwide, marking a rise of 42.2% compared to the previous year. The ease provided by cashless payments has encouraged more consumers to choose them and according to a recent report, in 2023, there were 1,347.7 billion cashless transactions globally and this figure is anticipated to rise to 2,121.6 billion by 2026.
The growth of mobile payments is playing a role in a wider transition towards cashless transactions and as customers grow increasingly at ease with digital payments, the use of cash decreases, which in turn speeds up the uptake of mobile payment technologies. The global use of mobile payments is increasing swiftly, with 950 million individuals utilizing cashless transactions via their smartphones. As per ACI Worldwide, the worldwide transaction volume for real-time payments is expected to reach 511.7 billion by 2027, representing 27.8% of total electronic payments.
The increasing number of users of services such as Google Pay and PhonePe is greatly enhancing the real-time payments sector, especially via the Unified Payments Interface system. 150 million users in 42 worldwide markets utilize Google Pay and various other online payment services. On the other hand, as of November 2023, PhonePe boasted more than 500 million registered users. The extensive use of Google Pay and PhonePe enhances consumer confidence in digital payments. As an increasing number of individuals utilize these platforms, it prompts others to embrace real-time payment solutions, establishing a beneficial cycle that accelerates market expansion. The ease and safety linked to these applications render them appealing choices for routine transactions.
Integration of Emerging Technologies as well as the Expansion of Digital Wallets and Mobile Payments Shape the Future of the Real-Time Payments Market
One of the most convincing reasons AI is gaining traction in the payments sector is its capability to enhance operational efficiency and payment modernization is a critical necessity for banks, demonstrated by a study in which nearly 91% of banks viewed payment modernization as important or very important. With artificial intelligence, financial institutions can significantly lessen the duration required for project assessment, system evaluation, and business review, which frequently represent almost 70% of a bank's expenditure on modernization efforts.
By utilizing AI to manage the monotonous and labor-intensive elements of payment infrastructure enhancements, banks can reduce expenses while still preserving or even hastening project schedules. AI's capability to process and evaluate large volumes of data instantaneously allows banks to improve their capacity to foresee and react to market needs, regulatory shifts, and fraud threats. Based on a survey, 54% of banks are currently intending to implement AI for payment modernization, whereas 42% are contemplating it.
The growth of digital wallets and mobile payments is greatly influencing the future of the real-time payments sector. This change is propelled by multiple elements that improve consumer convenience, support financial inclusion, and encourage technological advancement. The increase in digital wallets has resulted in a significant rise in cashless transactions. In 2023, digital wallets represented 56% of e-commerce expenditures and 51% of point-of-sale transactions, highlighting their increasing prevalence in the payment arena. This transition promotes the embrace of real-time payment solutions as consumers look for immediate transaction options for their digital wallet operations.
Digital wallets offer a smooth and effective payment experience, enabling users to execute immediate payments without requiring physical cash or cards. This ease of use is encouraging more consumers to favor real-time payment options, which are incorporated into these wallets, thus boosting transaction volumes across different platforms. Digital wallets are significantly contributing to enhancing financial inclusion by offering access to banking services for individuals who are unbanked and underbanked. As per recent information, the overall worth of digital wallet transactions worldwide in 2023 is anticipated to be approximately US$ 9 trillion, with forecasts indicating a notable rise to exceed US$ 16 trillion by 2028, reflecting a 77% growth rate.
Recent Trends in the Real-Time Payment Market:
- Integration of open banking and API solutions facilitating the integration of real-time payments into various financial services
- Surge in account-to-account (A2A) payments driven by the adoption of instant payment systems and open banking initiatives
- Adoption of blockchain technology enhancing the security and efficiency of real-time payment systems
- The rise of embedded payments allows to integration of payment capabilities directly into their platforms
- The emergence of central bank digital currencies enhances the real-time payment landscape by providing secure and efficient methods for transactions.
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Increased Fraud and Security Risks and Regulatory Compliance Pose Threat to the Market
Real-time payments are generally irreversible after completion, indicating that after a transaction is finalized, it cannot be undone. This feature renders them especially appealing to fraudsters, as they can swiftly take out funds before any fraudulent actions are identified. The absence of recourse for victims may undermine consumer trust in utilizing real-time payment systems.
The quickness of real-time payments makes it more challenging for financial institutions to detect fraud. Conventional fraud prevention strategies might not suffice for the swift transaction rates needed in real-time systems, resulting in possible weaknesses that people could take advantage of. Financial institutions need to invest in advanced technologies such as machine learning and behavioral biometrics to improve their fraud detection abilities but financial organizations that utilize legacy systems might find it difficult to enhance their infrastructures to effectively enable real-time payments. This operational burden can impede their capacity to properly monitor transactions, raising the likelihood of unnoticed fraudulent activities. Institutions need to strike a balance between the demand for quickness and strong security protocols, which can be a challenge. In 2023, 27% of companies utilizing real-time payments indicated an increase in fraud.
The real-time payments sector encounters considerable risks from challenges related to regulatory compliance. As the digital payment environment changes, a range of regulatory demands may present hurdles for businesses and financial organizations. The swift development of real-time payment systems has resulted in a fragmented set of regulations across various jurisdictions. Companies functioning in several areas must manage different compliance standards, which can be intricate and require significant resources. This intricacy may discourage businesses from completely embracing real-time payment solutions because of concerns about non-compliance and possible penalties.
New Apps and Services Revolutionizing the Real-Time Payments Market
Digital wallets are considerably influencing the market by revolutionizing payment methods, improving consumer experiences, and propelling technological innovations. For instance, Payap, a fresh digital wallet and point-of-sale application developed by New Zealand-based fintech Centrapay and supported by the Bank of New Zealand has commenced business registrations before its intended consumer debut in the nation in March 2025. For consumers, the platform will offer a digital wallet that consolidates all New Zealand bank accounts, gift cards, and loyalty cards in a single location, allowing users to execute immediate in-store transactions directly from their bank accounts using QR codes, while the app’s e-commerce functionality also allows businesses to process payments online.
As security issues are resolved via enhanced fraud detection features, a greater number of companies and individuals might be motivated to embrace real-time payment options. For instance, in October 2024, Nvidia introduced a new AI fraud detection system aimed at assisting financial organizations in tackling credit card transaction fraud. This solution revealed at the Money20/20 conference, employs enhanced data processing and sophisticated algorithms to detect nuanced patterns and irregularities in transaction data, enhancing precision and decreasing false positives when compared to conventional approaches.
The introduction of fraud detection services, especially those that employ AI technology, is expected to greatly influence the real-time payments market in various ways. For instance, in January 2025, SWIFT revealed plans for the imminent introduction of its AI-driven fraud protection system, designed to improve security for international payments. SWIFT has partnered with more than 11,500 banks and financial entities, comprising prominent firms such as BNP Paribas and Standard Bank, to create and assess this system. This wide-ranging partnership demonstrates a dedication to tackling sector-wide issues concerning financial crime. This rollout marks notable progress in SWIFT's continuous endeavours to strengthen security in international payments and safeguard financial institutions against emerging threats in the digital environment.
As digital wallets become more popular, conventional payment methods encounter growing demands to adjust. Companies that fail to provide digital wallet choices jeopardize their customer base that favours these contemporary payment options. For instance, in November 2024, Mastercard introduced Mastercard Pay Local, a worldwide service that effortlessly links consumers and merchants by enabling consumers to conduct card-based payments via local digital wallets. Mastercard cardholders can easily connect their credit or debit cards to a participating local digital wallet to purchase from merchants without the requirement to create or fund a prepaid account. Today, various digital wallets currently permit Mastercard to finance digital wallets locally and make payments at retail locations that accept these wallets.
Businesses that implement digital wallet technology acquire important knowledge about consumer spending behaviours and preferences. This information can guide marketing strategies and increase customer engagement, ultimately boosting sales and revenue. For instance, in January 2025, financial technology firm D-Wallet Technologies Corp, operating under the name DTaka, introduced a blockchain-backed e-wallet bearing the same brand, aimed at overseas Filipino workers and their families. They aim to achieve an e-wallet user base of 500,000 during their initial 18 months of operations.
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The Dominance of Asia Pacific in Real Time Payments Market Driven by Rising E-commerce Transactions
The swift expansion of digital wallets in the Asia Pacific region can be credited to favorable technological frameworks, regulatory conditions, and societal views on digital finance. Funding in high-speed internet and mobile connectivity has additionally aided the acceptance of digital payment options. In 2023, electronic wallets represented around 70% of the total value of e-commerce transactions in the Asia-Pacific region, indicating a significant consumer inclination towards digital payment options instead of conventional cash transactions.
The dominance of the Asia-Pacific region in the digital wallet market is fueled by high levels of adoption, governmental backing, technological progress, cultural changes favoring cashless transactions, and a competitive environment rich with various market participants. As these trends proceed to develop, the Asia Pacific region is expected to uphold its leading role in the global digital wallet ecosystem for the foreseeable future.
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Regions | Countries |
---|---|
North America | United States, Canada |
Latin America | Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Rest of Latin America |
Europe | Germany, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Rest of Europe |
Asia Pacific | China, India, Japan, South Korea, Australia & New Zealand, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Rest of Asia Pacific |
Middle East and Africa | GCC Countries, South Africa, Nigeria, Turkey, Egypt, Morocco, Israel, Kenya, Rest of MEA |
Real Time Payments Market Research Report Covers In-depth Analysis on:
- Real-time payments market detailed segments and segment-wise market breakdown
- Real-time payments market dynamics (Recent industry trends, drivers, restraints, growth potential, opportunities in real-time payments industry)
- Current, historical, and forthcoming 10 years market valuation in terms of real-time payments market size (US$ Mn), share (%), Y-o-Y growth rate, CAGR (%) analysis
- Real-time payments market demand analysis
- Real-time payments market regional insights with the region-wise market breakdown
- Competitive analysis – key companies profiling including their market share, product offerings, and competitive strategies.
- Latest developments and innovations in the real-time payment market
- Regulatory landscape by key regions and key countries
- Real-time payment market sales and distribution strategies
- A comprehensive overview of the parent market
- A detailed viewpoint on real-time payments market forecast by countries
- Mergers and acquisitions in the real-time payment market
- Essential information to enhance market position
- Robust research methodology